Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skoruk Tomakovka vs FC Chernihiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skoruk Tomakovka play FC Chernihiv in the Persha Liga 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skoruk Tomakovka averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. FC Chernihiv averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Skoruk Tomakovka won 0, FC Chernihiv won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 15, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Skoruk Tomakovka and 1.30 for FC Chernihiv. This points to a FC Chernihiv double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Skoruk Tomakovka
28%
Draws
37%
FC Chernihiv
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Chernihiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Skoruk Tomakovka picked up more points recently compared to FC Chernihiv.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Skoruk Tomakovka Clean Sheet 19%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skoruk Tomakovka FC Chernihiv
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Persha Liga
Skoruk Tomakovka vs FC Chernihiv
0:2
Aug 27, 2022 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Skoruk Tomakovka
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skoruk Tomakovka Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Vovk R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skoruk Tomakovka 35 / 100
FC Chernihiv 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skoruk Tomakovka FC Chernihiv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Chernihiv or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skoruk Tomakovka attacking → ← attacking FC Chernihiv

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skoruk Tomakovka scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

FC Chernihiv let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Skoruk Tomakovka went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Chernihiv lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Polissya Zhytomyr14131034:640
2Karpaty Lviv1491422:1328
3Epitsentr1483317:1127
4Nyva Ternopil1455415:820
5Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)1443711:2215
6Dinaz Vyshgorod1424814:2810
7Bukovyna142399:219
8Fenix Mariupol1414912:257
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1LNZ Cherkasy1493222:630
2Obolon1492320:929
3Kremin1463528:2421
4MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1455417:1620
5FC Chernihiv1444613:1716
6SC Poltava1443715:1915
7Skoruk Tomakovka1435615:2214
8Hirnyk-Sport141588:258