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Skovbakken vs Naesby

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 3 2015/2016
Skovbakken Logo

Skovbakken

0 - 2
FT
Naesby Logo

Naesby

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Skovbakken play Naesby in the 2nd Division - Group 3 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skovbakken averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Naesby averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Skovbakken won 2, Naesby won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 4, 2016 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Skovbakken and 2.49 for Naesby. This points to a Naesby double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Skovbakken
22%
Draws
46%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Skovbakken picked up more points recently compared to Naesby.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 2.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Skovbakken Clean Sheet 10%
Naesby Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skovbakken Naesby
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 9 21
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.57 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Skovbakken vs Naesby
0:2
Apr 23, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Naesby vs Skovbakken
2:2
Jun 3, 2015 2nd Division West
Skovbakken vs Naesby
2:1
Oct 11, 2014 2nd Division West
Naesby vs Skovbakken
1:2
Jun 7, 2014 2nd Division West
Naesby vs Skovbakken
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skovbakken Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Madsen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bock A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skovbakken 31 / 100
Naesby 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skovbakken Naesby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naesby or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skovbakken attacking → ← attacking Naesby

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skovbakken scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Naesby let in goals in 69% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Skovbakken went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Naesby lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 69
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13