Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skovde vs Jonkoping

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Södermalms IP, Skövde
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Basic A.
56'
Sub
Agerborn M. In: Nordstrom E.
Out: Agerborn M.
71'
Sub
Land L. In: Strom E.
Out: Land L.

AI Match Summary

Skovde in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skovde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Skovde
20%
Draws
38%
Jonkoping
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Jonkoping have won more games recently than Skovde.
  • Skovde are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Skovde Clean Sheet 11%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skovde Jonkoping
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Jonkoping
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Jonkoping vs Skovde
2:1
Oct 6, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Skovde
1:0
May 3, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Jonkoping
1:0
Oct 23, 2023 Superettan
Jonkoping vs Skovde
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Basic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jonkoping Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skovde 40 / 100
Jonkoping 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skovde Jonkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skovde scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Jonkoping conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Jonkoping has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skovde VS Jonkoping
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Skovde

(Home)
01 Aug
Olympic
3 : 1
Skovde
27 Jun
Lunds Bois
2 : 1
Skovde
18 Jun
Skovde
2 : 2
Hassleholms IF
14 Jun
Rosengard
3 : 0
Skovde
10 Jun
Lidkoping
2 : 3
Skovde
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Jonkoping

(Away)
02 Aug
Rosengard
4 : 2
Jonkoping
27 Jul
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Jonkoping
27 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 0
Jonkoping
18 Jun
Jonkoping
0 : 0
Lunds Bois
13 Jun
Tvaaker
2 : 1
Jonkoping
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 15 9 6 0 35:14 33
2 AFC Malmo 15 8 4 3 30:18 28
3 Lunds Bois 15 7 6 2 28:18 27
4 Atvidaberg 15 7 5 3 30:20 26
5 Rosengard 15 7 4 4 27:21 25
6 Hassleholms IF 15 7 3 5 29:22 24
7 Olympic 15 7 1 7 25:25 22
8 Tvaaker 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
9 Eskilsminne 15 6 2 7 25:28 20
10 Jonkoping 15 5 3 7 22:19 18
11 Angelholm 15 3 8 4 24:24 17
12 Trollhattan 15 3 7 5 19:26 16
13 Skovde 15 3 7 5 12:23 16
14 Kristianstad 15 3 5 7 16:24 14
15 Laholms 15 4 1 10 21:30 13
16 Utsikten 15 1 2 12 12:41 5
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)