Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skovde vs Trelleborg

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Södermalms IP, Skövde
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Brannefalk J.
26' Event
Nordstrom E.
Assist: Almen A.
56' Event
Ruuska O.
Assist: Ellbring I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Skovde and Trelleborg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skovde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Skovde
15%
Draws
48%
Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Trelleborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Skovde taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Skovde Clean Sheet 14%
Trelleborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skovde Trelleborg
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Trelleborg
2:1
Jun 7, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs Skovde
4:0
Sep 22, 2024 Superettan
Trelleborg vs Skovde
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Superettan
Skovde vs Trelleborg
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Superettan
Trelleborg vs Skovde
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordstrom E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sodeliden A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruuska O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skovde 66 / 100
Trelleborg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skovde Trelleborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skovde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skovde found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Trelleborg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Skovde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skovde VS Trelleborg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skovde

(Home)
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
12 Sept
Angelholm
0 : 3
Skovde
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
26 Aug
Skovde
1 : 2
Halmstad
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Trelleborg

(Away)
17 Sept
Rosengard
3 : 4
Trelleborg
12 Sept
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Hassleholms IF
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
30 Aug
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Utsikten
22 Aug
Trollhattan
2 : 1
Trelleborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 22 13 6 3 48:27 45
2 Hassleholms IF 22 13 3 6 43:26 42
3 Atvidaberg 23 12 6 5 46:33 42
4 Lunds Bois 23 11 8 4 46:27 41
5 AFC Malmo 23 9 8 6 42:34 35
6 Rosengard 22 9 7 6 38:32 34
7 Tvaaker 22 9 6 7 30:32 33
8 Trollhattan 22 8 7 7 36:34 31
9 Jonkoping 22 8 6 8 26:20 30
10 Olympic 22 9 2 11 39:43 29
11 Eskilsminne 22 8 4 10 36:40 28
12 Skovde 22 6 9 7 24:32 27
13 Laholms 22 6 4 12 28:38 22
14 Kristianstad 22 5 6 11 25:34 21
15 Angelholm 22 3 8 11 25:41 17
16 Utsikten 23 1 6 16 18:57 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)