Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skra Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass, Częstochowa
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nweke V.
27' Event
Adamski J.
79' Event
Kucharczyk O.

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze II in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornik Zabrze II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Skra Czestochowa
20%
Draws
38%
Gornik Zabrze II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skra Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Skra Czestochowa have won more games recently than Gornik Zabrze II.
  • Win probability leans Skra Czestochowa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skra Czestochowa Gornik Zabrze II
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze II
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Skra Czestochowa
1:2
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Skra Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze II
4:0
Feb 1, 2020 Club Friendly
Skra Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze II
4:4
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Skra Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucharczyk O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nweke V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adamski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skra Czestochowa 40 / 100
Gornik Zabrze II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skra Czestochowa Gornik Zabrze II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skra Czestochowa found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Gornik Zabrze II has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Skra Czestochowa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skra Czestochowa VS Gornik Zabrze II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Skra Czestochowa

(Home)
30 May
Woliborz
2 : 1
Skra Czestochowa
22 May
Skra Czestochowa
4 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
16 May
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 0
Skra Czestochowa
13 May
Skra Czestochowa
2 : 1
Sleza Wroclaw
09 May
Skra Czestochowa
1 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
Page 1 of 7

Gornik Zabrze II

(Away)
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Gornik Zabrze II
22 May
Gornik Zabrze II
6 : 0
Polkowice
16 May
Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
13 May
Gornik Zabrze II
0 : 1
Legnica II
09 May
Skra Czestochowa
1 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)