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Skra Czestochowa vs Sleza Wroclaw

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass
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Match Events

44' Event
Kucharczyk O.
81' Event
Pisarczuk R.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Suski M.

AI Match Summary

Skra Czestochowa in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skra Czestochowa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Skra Czestochowa
6%
Draws
4%
Sleza Wroclaw
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skra Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sleza Wroclaw lately — more wins on the board than Skra Czestochowa.
  • Win probability leans Skra Czestochowa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 18%
Sleza Wroclaw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skra Czestochowa Sleza Wroclaw
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Sleza Wroclaw
2:1
Oct 24, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Sleza Wroclaw vs Skra Czestochowa
1:2
May 19, 2018 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Sleza Wroclaw
1:1
Oct 14, 2017 III Liga - Group III
Sleza Wroclaw vs Skra Czestochowa
1:1
May 13, 2017 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Sleza Wroclaw
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucharczyk O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sleza Wroclaw Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skra Czestochowa 85 / 100
Sleza Wroclaw 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skra Czestochowa Sleza Wroclaw

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skra Czestochowa's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sleza Wroclaw has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sleza Wroclaw's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Skra Czestochowa VS Sleza Wroclaw
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057