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Skra Czestochowa vs Starowice Dolne

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass
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Match Events

36' Event
Golebiowski R.
66' Event
Nocon P.
73' Event
Lukasiewicz J.

AI Match Summary

Skra Czestochowa in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skra Czestochowa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Skra Czestochowa
6%
Draws
4%
Starowice Dolne
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skra Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Skra Czestochowa have won more games recently than Starowice Dolne.
  • Model gives Skra Czestochowa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 18%
Starowice Dolne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skra Czestochowa Starowice Dolne
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Starowice Dolne
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Skra Czestochowa
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Golebiowski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nocon P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Starowice Dolne Compare

Top Goalscorer Bebenek K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skowron M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skra Czestochowa 85 / 100
Starowice Dolne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skra Czestochowa Starowice Dolne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Skra Czestochowa scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Starowice Dolne has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Starowice Dolne's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Skra Czestochowa VS Starowice Dolne
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057