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Skra Czestochowa vs Zaglebie II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sajdak P.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Cieslak S.
90' Event
Lukasiewicz J.

AI Match Summary

Skra Czestochowa in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skra Czestochowa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Skra Czestochowa
6%
Draws
4%
Zaglebie II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skra Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zaglebie II average 2.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Skra Czestochowa's 1.57.
  • Model gives Skra Czestochowa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 14%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skra Czestochowa Zaglebie II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.14 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Zaglebie II
3:0
Sep 5, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Skra Czestochowa
3:4
Jun 7, 2025 Division 2
Skra Czestochowa vs Zaglebie II
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 Division 2
Zaglebie II vs Skra Czestochowa
2:0
Apr 5, 2024 Division 2
Skra Czestochowa vs Zaglebie II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cieslak S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lukasiewicz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Zaglebie II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skra Czestochowa 84 / 100
Zaglebie II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skra Czestochowa Zaglebie II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Skra Czestochowa scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Zaglebie II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Zaglebie II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skra Czestochowa VS Zaglebie II
1.57 Goals Scored 2.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
29% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057