Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skra Czestochowa W vs Pogon Tczew W

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Women 2024/2025 Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass, Częstochowa
Skra Czestochowa W Logo

Skra Czestochowa W

Thu, Feb 13, 2025
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Pogon Tczew W Logo

Pogon Tczew W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Polish Cup Women 2024/2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Skra Czestochowa W have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Pogon Tczew W's 0.75 scored and 2.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Pogon Tczew W slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.92 vs 0.93, favoring Pogon Tczew W. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Skra Czestochowa W
20%
Draws
38%
Pogon Tczew W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skra Czestochowa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon Tczew W come out ahead of Skra Czestochowa W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Skra Czestochowa W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Pogon Tczew W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pogon Tczew W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pogon Tczew W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Skra Czestochowa W Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skra Czestochowa W Pogon Tczew W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 3 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Skra Czestochowa W vs Pogon Tczew W
0:3
Feb 13, 2025 Polish Cup Women
Skra Czestochowa W vs Pogon Tczew W
0:3
Nov 10, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Skra Czestochowa W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skra Czestochowa W 42 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skra Czestochowa W Pogon Tczew W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Tczew W let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Pogon Tczew W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Skra Czestochowa W scored in 21% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pogon Tczew W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skra Czestochowa W

(Home)
24 May
Skra Czestochowa W
0 : 3
Pogon Tczew W
10 May
Leczna W
3 : 0
Skra Czestochowa W
03 May
Skra Czestochowa W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
26 Apr
Slask Wroclaw W
3 : 0
Skra Czestochowa W
19 Apr
Skra Czestochowa W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Tczew W

(Away)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Biedrzychowice W1
LFA Szczecin W7
Stomilanki Olsztyn II W0
Leczna W9
Trojka Staszkowka W0
Lech-UAM Poznan W5
Beniaminek Krosno W0
UKS SMS Lodz W12
Slupczanka Slupca W0
Legia W6
UW Warszawa W0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W3
Forty Piatnica W0
Wisla W2
UJ Krakow II W0
Slask Wroclaw W9
MKS Myszkow W3
KKP Bydgoszcz W0
Medyk Konin W3
Skra Czestochowa W4
UKS SMS Lodz II W4
Iskra Tarnow W2
Wlokniarz Bialystok W0
Pogon Tczew W11
Dab Zabierzow W0
Lubartow W3
Lech-UAM Poznan II W0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W1
Myslenice W1
Stomilanki Olsztyn W4
Czarni Sosnowiec II W1
Pogon Szczecin W5
Kostrzyn nad Odra W1
Praga Warszawa W0
Wisla Plock W7
Bielawianka Bielawa W3
Pogon Tczew II W3
Medyk Konin II W0
Pogon Szczecin II W3
Stare Oborzyska W4
Gorzno W10
Grodzisk Wielkopolski W0
Czworka Radom W1
R. Rzeszow W2
Gornik Zabrze W2
Pultusk W1
Wanda Krakow W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W14
Unia Lublin II W0
Targowianka Targowisko W6
KKP Bydgoszcz II W1
Pabianice W2
Loczki Wyszkow W3
KKP Warszawa W2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala II W1
Sleza Wroclaw W4
KKP Warszawa II W1
Ostrovia Ostrow W2
Unia Lublin W2
UJ Krakow W0
Sleza Wroclaw II W9
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
GKS Katowice W1
1/16-finals
LFA Szczecin W0
Leczna W10
Lech-UAM Poznan W0
UKS SMS Lodz W3
Legia W0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W2
Wisla W0
Slask Wroclaw W14
MKS Myszkow W0
Skra Czestochowa W3
UKS SMS Lodz II W2
Pogon Tczew W3
Lubartow W3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W1
Stomilanki Olsztyn W1
Pogon Szczecin W5
Kostrzyn nad Odra W2
Wisla Plock W1
Pogon Tczew II W3
Stare Oborzyska W4
Gorzno W1
R. Rzeszow W5
Gornik Zabrze W1
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W8
Targowianka Targowisko W0
Pabianice W1
Loczki Wyszkow W1
Sleza Wroclaw W3
Ostrovia Ostrow W0
Unia Lublin W2
Sleza Wroclaw II W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W9
1/8-finals
Leczna W1
UKS SMS Lodz W2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W3
Slask Wroclaw W2
Skra Czestochowa W0
Pogon Tczew W3
Lubartow W0
Pogon Szczecin W9
Kostrzyn nad Odra W0
Stare Oborzyska W2
R. Rzeszow W2
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W5
Pabianice W0
Sleza Wroclaw W6
Unia Lublin W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W9
Quarter-finals
UKS SMS Lodz W2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W0
Pogon Tczew W1
Pogon Szczecin W2
Stare Oborzyska W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W3
Sleza Wroclaw W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
Semi-finals
UKS SMS Lodz W0
Pogon Szczecin W1
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W4
Final
Pogon Szczecin W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W2