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SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Testen T.
46'
Sub
Tristao C. In: Norton A.
Out: Tristao C.
50'
Sub
Encinas P. In: Moller C.
Out: Encinas P.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Champions League Women game between SL Benfica W and Bayern Munich W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern Munich W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
SL Benfica W
15%
Draws
44%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich W come out ahead of SL Benfica W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SL Benfica W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bayern Munich W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 12%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SL Benfica W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 25
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 2.37 2.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.74 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W
0:3
Dec 21, 2022 UEFA Champions League Women
Bayern Munich W vs SL Benfica W
2:0
Oct 27, 2022 UEFA Champions League Women
SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W
2:3
Dec 15, 2021 UEFA Champions League Women
Bayern Munich W vs SL Benfica W
4:0
Oct 5, 2021 UEFA Champions League Women
SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SL Benfica W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.34
Avg xA / game 0.87

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Buhl K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harder P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SL Benfica W 56 / 100
Bayern Munich W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SL Benfica W Bayern Munich W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SL Benfica W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SL Benfica W scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SL Benfica W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bayern Munich W has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

SL Benfica W VS Bayern Munich W
2.86 Goals Scored 2.75
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SL Benfica W

(Home)
04 Oct
Braga W
0 : 6
SL Benfica W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
Page 1 of 6

Bayern Munich W

(Away)
03 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2
Manchester City W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2
Koln W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 OL Lyonnes W 2 1 1 0 8:0 4
3 PSG W 2 1 1 0 6:1 4
4 Bayern Munich W 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
5 Arsenal W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Inter W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Chelsea W 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Koge W 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
9 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
10 SL Benfica W 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
11 Manchester City W 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Real Madrid W 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 Austria Vienna W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Paris FC W 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
15 Leuven W 2 0 1 1 0:5 1
16 AS Roma W 2 0 1 1 0:6 1
17 Hacken W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
18 Servette W 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/4-finals)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)