Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women Caixa Futebol Campus, Seixal
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Moller C.

AI Match Summary

The Taça da Liga Women game between SL Benfica W and Valadares Gaia W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SL Benfica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SL Benfica W
6%
Draws
4%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia W haven't matched SL Benfica W's recent run of results.
  • SL Benfica W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Taça da Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 68%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SL Benfica W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 26 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs SL Benfica W
1:4
Apr 27, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Valadares Gaia W vs SL Benfica W
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SL Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SL Benfica W 95 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SL Benfica W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SL Benfica W's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

SL Benfica W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Valadares Gaia W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

SL Benfica W VS Valadares Gaia W
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SL Benfica W

(Home)
17 May
SL Benfica W
2 : 0
FC Porto W
10 May
Rio Ave W
0 : 1
SL Benfica W
01 May
SL Benfica W
3 : 1
Sporting W
25 Apr
Braga W
1 : 3
SL Benfica W
05 Apr
SL Benfica W
2 : 0
Torreense W
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Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
02 May
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W430110:59
2Valadares Gaia W43019:19
3Braga W42119:77
4Vitoria Guimaraes W41036:83
5Maritimo W40134:171
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting W422010:48
2Torreense W42205:28
3Rio Ave W42204:28
4Racing Power W41035:43
5Damaiense W40041:130
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)