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SL Benfica W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Caixa Futebol Campus, Seixal
SL Benfica W Logo

SL Benfica W

5 - 1
FT
Vitoria Guimaraes W Logo

Vitoria Guimaraes W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cameirao B.
Assist: Moller C.
19' Event
Gomes D.
Assist: Davidson C.
23'
Brasil S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 game between SL Benfica W and Vitoria Guimaraes W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SL Benfica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SL Benfica W
15%
Draws
21%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SL Benfica W come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SL Benfica W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SL Benfica W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SL Benfica W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 25 7
Draws 3 10
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
5:1
Jan 4, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
SL Benfica W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs SL Benfica W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SL Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cameirao B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SL Benfica W 95 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SL Benfica W Vitoria Guimaraes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SL Benfica W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SL Benfica W scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Vitoria Guimaraes W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

SL Benfica W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SL Benfica W VS Vitoria Guimaraes W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SL Benfica W

(Home)
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
06 Sept
SL Benfica W
5 : 1
FC Porto W
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Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 3
Torreense W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)