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Slagelse vs Herlev

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2021/2022 Slagelse Stadion, Slagelse
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Fadil A.
88' Event
Petersen M.
90' Event
Bozga J.

AI Match Summary

Slagelse in this 3rd Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slagelse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Slagelse
15%
Draws
85%
Herlev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herlev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Herlev haven't matched Slagelse's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Herlev a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Slagelse have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Slagelse Clean Sheet 16%
Herlev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slagelse Herlev
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2022 3rd Division
Herlev vs Slagelse
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 3rd Division
Slagelse vs Herlev
3:0
Nov 13, 2021 3rd Division
Slagelse vs Herlev
4:0
Aug 28, 2021 3rd Division
Herlev vs Slagelse
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slagelse Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadil A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petersen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Herlev Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slagelse 10 / 100
Herlev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slagelse Herlev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herlev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herlev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Slagelse scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Herlev has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slagelse VS Herlev
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slagelse

(Home)
05 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 4
Sundby
28 Jan
Fremad Amager
3 : 0
Slagelse
02 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 5
Sonderjyske
23 Jul
Slagelse
0 : 3
Ishoj IF
11 Jun
Vanlose
1 : 0
Slagelse
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Herlev

(Away)
19 Jan
Vanlose
0 : 4
Herlev
01 Aug
Herlev
0 : 2
Gladsaxe
03 Sept
Herlev
1 : 4
Ishoj IF
06 Aug
Vigerslev
0 : 1
Herlev
09 Mar
Herlev
2 : 1
Bronshoj
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