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Slask Wroclaw vs Rakow Czestochowa

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Tarczynski Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slask Wroclaw play Rakow Czestochowa in the Polish Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Slask Wroclaw averaged 2.68 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Rakow Czestochowa averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Slask Wroclaw won 1, Rakow Czestochowa won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 3, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Slask Wroclaw and 1.13 for Rakow Czestochowa. This points to a Rakow Czestochowa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Slask Wroclaw
32%
Draws
34%
Rakow Czestochowa
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Slask Wroclaw picked up more points recently compared to Rakow Czestochowa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Slask Wroclaw Clean Sheet 21%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slask Wroclaw Rakow Czestochowa
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.68 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Polish Cup
Slask Wroclaw vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:2
Apr 25, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Slask Wroclaw
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:0
May 25, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Slask Wroclaw
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slask Wroclaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Warchol D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makuch P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slask Wroclaw 35 / 100
Rakow Czestochowa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slask Wroclaw Rakow Czestochowa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rakow Czestochowa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Slask Wroclaw attacking → ← attacking Rakow Czestochowa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slask Wroclaw scored in 96% of their last 25 games.

Rakow Czestochowa let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Slask Wroclaw went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rakow Czestochowa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 50
3.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63