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Slask Wroclaw W vs Pogon Tczew W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Gomes C.
51' Event
Gomes C.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Slask Wroclaw W and Pogon Tczew W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Tczew W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Slask Wroclaw W
35%
Draws
37%
Pogon Tczew W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pogon Tczew W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Slask Wroclaw W come out ahead of Pogon Tczew W on wins alone.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Slask Wroclaw W taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Slask Wroclaw W Clean Sheet 68%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slask Wroclaw W Pogon Tczew W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.85 1
Goals Conceded 2 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Slask Wroclaw W vs Pogon Tczew W
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Slask Wroclaw W
2:5
Mar 8, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Slask Wroclaw W
2:3
Aug 25, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Slask Wroclaw W vs Pogon Tczew W
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Slask Wroclaw W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slask Wroclaw W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slask Wroclaw W 95 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slask Wroclaw W Pogon Tczew W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slask Wroclaw W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pogon Tczew W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Slask Wroclaw W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Slask Wroclaw W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slask Wroclaw W VS Pogon Tczew W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Slask Wroclaw W

(Home)
27 Sept
Slask Wroclaw W
2 : 2
Lech-UAM Poznan W
30 Aug
Slask Wroclaw W
1 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
22 Aug
Pogon Szczecin W
5 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
16 Aug
Slask Wroclaw W
1 : 2
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
08 Aug
Slask Wroclaw W
1 : 1
UKS SMS Lodz W
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Pogon Tczew W

(Away)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czarni Sosnowiec W 22 18 2 2 68:18 56
2 Pogon Szczecin W 22 16 3 3 60:18 51
3 GKS Katowice W 22 15 3 4 51:26 48
4 Leczna W 22 15 2 5 49:20 47
5 UKS SMS Lodz W 22 8 5 9 35:35 29
6 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 22 8 4 10 29:34 28
7 Slask Wroclaw W 22 8 2 12 39:33 26
8 Lech-UAM Poznan W 22 7 5 10 29:46 26
9 UJ Krakow W 22 6 6 10 26:37 24
10 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 22 7 2 13 24:45 23
11 Stomilanki Olsztyn W 22 3 2 17 23:70 11
12 Pogon Tczew W 22 1 4 17 15:66 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)