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Slaven Belupo vs Din. Zagreb Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas, Koprivnica
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slaven Belupo host Din. Zagreb in the HNL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Slaven Belupo have averaged 1.35 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Din. Zagreb's 2.91 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Slaven Belupo have won 0 to Din. Zagreb's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.94) back Din. Zagreb to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Slaven Belupo
20%
Draws
47%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Din. Zagreb come out ahead of Slaven Belupo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Din. Zagreb here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 10%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slaven Belupo Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 23
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.35 2.91
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
2:0
May 17, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Din. Zagreb
1:4
Mar 14, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
4:2
Dec 14, 2025 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Din. Zagreb
2:5
Sep 28, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slaven Belupo 30 / 100
Din. Zagreb 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slaven Belupo Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Slaven Belupo's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Slaven Belupo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Din. Zagreb has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slaven Belupo VS Din. Zagreb
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Slaven Belupo

(Home)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
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Din. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)