Sport Picks
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Stadion Junost, Mozyr 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Chernook K. In: Lutsevich T.
Out: Chernook K.
37'
37'
Sub
Vorobyov I. In: Antilevskiy D.
Out: Vorobyov I.
64'
64'
Sub
Antilevskiy A. In: Senko V.
Out: Antilevskiy A.
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between Slavia Mozyr and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk haven't matched Slavia Mozyr's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slavia Mozyr | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Slavia Mozyr Compare
Top Goalscorer Shevchenko E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slavia Mozyr 42 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slavia Mozyr Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Slavia Mozyr's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Slavia Mozyr stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Slavia Mozyr VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Slavia Mozyr
(Home) 19 Jul
Volna Pinsk
0 : 5 Slavia Mozyr
11 Jul
Dynamo Brest
4 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4 ML Vitebsk
26 Jun
FK Baranovici
1 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
20 Jun
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 2 Isloch Minsk
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4 ML Vitebsk
20 Jun
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 2 Isloch Minsk
31 May
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 1 Belshina
24 May
Slavia Mozyr
1 : 1 BATE
09 May
Slavia Mozyr
1 : 2 FC Minsk
Page 1 of 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
(Away) 18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 3 Vitebsk
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
26 Jun
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 1 FC Gomel
21 Jun
BATE
2 : 3 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
21 Jun
BATE
2 : 3 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
14 Jun
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
23 May
Dynamo Brest
3 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Din. Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26:12 | 33 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30:13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch Minsk | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24:10 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Gomel | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:15 | 24 |
| 6 | Zhodino | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Neman | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Vitebsk | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:26 | 16 |
| 12 | Slavia Mozyr | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12:22 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 15 | BATE | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | 6 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)