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Slavia Mozyr vs Dnyapro

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga 2019 Stadion Junost
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slavia Mozyr play Dnyapro in the Vysshaya Liga 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Slavia Mozyr averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Dnyapro averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Slavia Mozyr won 4, Dnyapro won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2020 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Slavia Mozyr and 0.94 for Dnyapro. This points to a Slavia Mozyr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Slavia Mozyr
15%
Draws
30%
Dnyapro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slavia Mozyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Slavia Mozyr picked up more points recently compared to Dnyapro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 24%
Dnyapro Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Mozyr Dnyapro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs Dnyapro
3:0
Mar 9, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Dnyapro vs Slavia Mozyr
0:3
Aug 17, 2019 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Dnyapro
1:0
Apr 12, 2019 Vysshaya Liga
Dnyapro vs Slavia Mozyr
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Narh F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dnyapro Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Mozyr 54 / 100
Dnyapro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Mozyr Dnyapro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Mozyr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Slavia Mozyr & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Slavia Mozyr attacking → ← attacking Dnyapro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slavia Mozyr scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Dnyapro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Slavia Mozyr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dnyapro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 32
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dynamo Brest30236170:2275
2BATE30224461:2170
3Shakhtyor Soligorsk30205559:2165
4Din. Minsk301551043:3950
5Isloch Minsk30138942:3647
6Zhodino301361141:3645
7FK Gorodeja301281031:2944
8Slavia Mozyr301071335:4037
9Neman301061428:3736
10FC Minsk30991236:4436
11Slutsk30971429:4634
12SKA-1938 Minsk30891352:6633
13Vitebsk30871524:3931
14Dnyapro30861632:4230
15FC Gomel30781544:5029
16Torpedo Minsk3013264:636