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Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Junost
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Lutsevich T.
Assist: Antilevskiy A.
55'
Dzhigero A.
65'
Sub
Turich A. In: Kuchinskiy K.
Out: Turich A.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Slavia Mozyr and FC Minsk finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Slavia Mozyr
33%
Draws
40%
FC Minsk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Slavia Mozyr come out ahead of FC Minsk on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Minsk a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 16%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Mozyr FC Minsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk
2:3
Jun 27, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutsevich T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieye M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuchinskiy K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Mozyr 28 / 100
FC Minsk 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Mozyr FC Minsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Minsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Slavia Mozyr found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Slavia Mozyr went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Mozyr VS FC Minsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1556418:2121
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1555516:1620
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316