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Slavia Sofia 2 vs Chavdar Etropole

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slavia Sofia 2 host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Chavdar Etropole have shipped 2.52 goals a game lately, while Slavia Sofia 2 have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.94. Head-to-head, Slavia Sofia 2 have won 1 to Chavdar Etropole's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2024, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.26 vs 1.07, favoring Slavia Sofia 2. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Slavia Sofia 2
15%
Draws
49%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chavdar Etropole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia 2 have won more games recently than Chavdar Etropole.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chavdar Etropole have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Slavia Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Sofia 2 Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.94 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.26 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Slavia Sofia 2
0:3
Nov 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Chavdar Etropole
0:7
Feb 22, 2023 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Chavdar Etropole
3:4
Aug 6, 2022 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Slavia Sofia 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Sofia 2 31 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Sofia 2 Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Sofia 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chavdar Etropole conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Slavia Sofia 2 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Away concern: Chavdar Etropole has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Sofia 2 VS Chavdar Etropole
2.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavia Sofia 2

(Home)
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
15 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
08 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
08 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 1
Oborishte Panagyurishte
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