Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slavia Sofia 2 vs Rilski Sportist Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Slavia Sofia 2 and Rilski Sportist finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Slavia Sofia 2
15%
Draws
49%
Rilski Sportist
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia 2's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what Rilski Sportist have produced (1.11).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Slavia Sofia 2 taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rilski Sportist have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Slavia Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Sofia 2 Rilski Sportist
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Rilski Sportist
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Slavia Sofia 2
2:1
May 3, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Rilski Sportist
1:2
Oct 30, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Slavia Sofia 2
3:2
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Rilski Sportist
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Sofia 2 40 / 100
Rilski Sportist 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Sofia 2 Rilski Sportist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Sofia 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Slavia Sofia 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Rilski Sportist has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Slavia Sofia 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Sofia 2 VS Rilski Sportist
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavia Sofia 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Natsional Sofia
2 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6

Rilski Sportist

(Away)
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)