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Slavia Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Slavia Sofia 2 and Septemvri Simitli finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slavia Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Slavia Sofia 2
39%
Draws
31%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Slavia Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Sofia 2 Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia 2
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
2:2
Sep 4, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia 2
1:0
May 8, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Sofia 2 30 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Sofia 2 Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Slavia Sofia 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Simitli conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Slavia Sofia 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Sofia 2 VS Septemvri Simitli
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavia Sofia 2

(Home)
30 May
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Slavia Sofia 2
23 May
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 1
Oborishte Panagyurishte
17 May
Slavia Sofia 2
8 : 1
Kyustendil
09 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
5 : 1
Slavia Sofia 2
03 May
Slavia Sofia 2
2 : 0
Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kyustendil
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0
Septemvri Simitli
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1
Kostinbrod
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)