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Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slavia Sofia host Cherno More in the efbet League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Slavia Sofia at 1.61 goals for, 1.07 against; Cherno More at 0.97 for, 1.53 against. Past meetings favor Slavia Sofia slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.31 - 1.00) back Slavia Sofia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Slavia Sofia
15%
Draws
39%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slavia Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Slavia Sofia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Slavia Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Sofia Cherno More
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.61 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Slavia Sofia
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Slavia Sofia
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More vs Slavia Sofia
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Sofia 76 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Sofia Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Slavia Sofia scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Cherno More let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Slavia Sofia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Sofia VS Cherno More
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavia Sofia

(Home)
17 Oct
Akademik Svishtov
0 : 3
Slavia Sofia
10 Oct
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
21 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
17 Oct
Marek
0 : 3
Cherno More
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)