Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Dosso M.
21'
Hristov M.
31'
Wade S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Slavia Sofia
35%
Draws
35%
Septemvri Sofia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slavia Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Septemvri Sofia.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Slavia Sofia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Slavia Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Sofia Septemvri Sofia
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
2:3
May 6, 2026 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
2:1
Apr 10, 2026 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slavia Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Sofia 95 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Sofia Septemvri Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Slavia Sofia scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Septemvri Sofia has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Slavia Sofia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Sofia VS Septemvri Sofia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavia Sofia

(Home)
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1
Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Sofia

(Away)
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
3 CSKA Sofia 8 6 2 0 21:6 20
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
5 Arda 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Botev Plovdiv 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
7 Slavia Sofia 9 2 5 2 8:6 11
8 Spartak Varna 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
9 Botev Vratsa 9 2 2 5 7:17 8
10 Septemvri Sofia 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 9 2 0 7 4:12 6
12 Cherno More 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
13 Lok. Sofia 8 0 4 4 10:16 4
14 Dunav Ruse 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)