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Slavija vs Mrkonjic Grad Prediction & H2H Stats

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 City Stadium SRC Slavija, Sarajevo
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Arbinja S.
33'
Karic M.
34' Event
Gvasalia D.

AI Match Summary

Slavija in this Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slavija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Slavija
35%
Draws
35%
Mrkonjic Grad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Slavija have won more games recently than Mrkonjic Grad.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Slavija Clean Sheet 20%
Mrkonjic Grad Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavija Mrkonjic Grad
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Slavija vs Mrkonjic Grad
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Slavija
1:3
Mar 30, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Slavija vs Mrkonjic Grad
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Slavija
2:0
May 7, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Slavija
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slavija Compare

Top Goalscorer Arbinja S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Govedarica M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Mrkonjic Grad Compare

Top Goalscorer Gvasalia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavija 31 / 100
Mrkonjic Grad 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavija Mrkonjic Grad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mrkonjic Grad has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Slavija scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Slavija stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slavija VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavija

(Home)
03 Oct
Slavija
1 : 1
Famos Vojkovici
26 Sept
Zvijezda 09
1 : 2
Slavija
23 Sept
Slavija
0 : 0
Kozara
20 Sept
Omarska
1 : 0
Slavija
12 Sept
Slavija
2 : 2
Rudar Prijedor
Page 1 of 7

Mrkonjic Grad

(Away)
31 May
Kozara
3 : 1
Mrkonjic Grad
24 May
Mrkonjic Grad
3 : 0
Sloboda Novi Grad
17 May
Romanija Pale
2 : 2
Mrkonjic Grad
14 May
Mrkonjic Grad
2 : 1
Zeljeznicar Banja Luka
10 May
Slavija
3 : 1
Mrkonjic Grad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laktasi 34 26 3 5 90:24 81
2 BSK Banja Luka 34 22 5 7 67:39 71
3 Rudar Prijedor 34 20 6 8 50:21 66
4 Zvijezda 09 34 18 6 10 46:34 60
5 Sloboda Novi Grad 34 15 7 12 43:38 49
6 Slavija 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
7 Famos Vojkovici 34 13 7 14 40:35 46
8 Sutjeska Foca 34 14 4 16 42:55 46
9 Leotar 34 12 9 13 42:29 45
10 Romanija Pale 34 11 11 12 36:32 44
11 Zvornik 34 13 5 16 38:42 44
12 Kozara 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
13 Nevesinje 34 12 6 16 38:58 42
14 Drina Visegrad 34 13 3 18 37:59 42
15 Zeljeznicar Banja Luka 34 12 5 17 46:52 41
16 Ljubic Prnjavor 34 11 7 16 39:62 40
17 Mrkonjic Grad 34 9 7 18 44:61 34
18 Kozarska Dubica 34 5 4 25 29:88 16
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