Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sliema vs Swieqi

Malta Malta

FA Trophy Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Sat, Jan 3, 2026
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Davey I.
90' Event
Prsa R.
98'
Miguel Baggio

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sliema
15%
Draws
45%
Swieqi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swieqi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sliema haven't matched Swieqi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Swieqi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Swieqi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Swieqi, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sliema Clean Sheet 16%
Swieqi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sliema Swieqi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 FA Trophy
Sliema vs Swieqi
1:2
Nov 3, 2022 Challenge League
Swieqi vs Sliema
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sliema Compare

Top Goalscorer Prsa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Swieqi Compare

Top Goalscorer Davey I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okoh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sliema 23 / 100
Swieqi 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sliema Swieqi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swieqi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Sliema's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Swieqi let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Sliema remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sliema VS Swieqi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sliema

(Home)
06 Sept
Sliema
2 : 1
Birkirkara
30 Aug
Birzebbuga
1 : 2
Sliema
21 Aug
Floriana
2 : 0
Sliema
16 Aug
Sliema
0 : 2
Hibernians
25 Jul
Birkirkara
2 : 3
Sliema
Page 1 of 6

Swieqi

(Away)
23 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 2
Birzebbuga
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
Swieqi
5 : 0
Melita
14 Mar
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Swieqi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1