Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Showgrounds, Sligo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sligo Rovers host Dundalk in the Premier Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dundalk have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Sligo Rovers have conceded 1.63 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Sligo Rovers slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.00) point toward Dundalk. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sligo Rovers
15%
Draws
85%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dundalk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dundalk have won more games recently than Sligo Rovers.
  • Dundalk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers Dundalk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
2:0
Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1:0
Jul 18, 2025 FAI Cup
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 26 / 100
Dundalk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundalk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundalk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Dundalk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sligo Rovers's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sligo Rovers VS Dundalk
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sligo Rovers

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
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Dundalk

(Away)
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)