Sport Picks
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
Premier Division Showgrounds, Sligo 
Match Events
20'
20'
Wilson T.
25'
25'
Sub
Animasahun M. In: Vassenin E.
Out: Animasahun M.
46'
46'
Sub
Gabbidon A. In: Quirk S.
Out: Gabbidon A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundalk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dundalk have won more games recently than Sligo Rovers.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 12%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sligo Rovers | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
1:1
Jul 31, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
2:0
Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
1:0
Jul 18, 2025 FAI Cup
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sligo Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Woolery K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Dundalk Compare
Top Goalscorer Teahan R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sligo Rovers 35 / 100
Dundalk 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sligo Rovers Dundalk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dundalk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dundalk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Sligo Rovers scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Dundalk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sligo Rovers VS Dundalk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sligo Rovers
(Home) 30 Oct
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2 Derry City
23 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 0 Sligo Rovers
17 Oct
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 Dundalk
09 Oct
Shelbourne
5 : 1 Sligo Rovers
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 St. Patricks
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30 Oct
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2 Derry City
17 Oct
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 Dundalk
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Galway United
21 Aug
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0 Waterford
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Dundalk
(Away) 30 Oct
Dundalk
3 : 1 Shamrock Rovers
23 Oct
Derry City
2 : 1 Dundalk
17 Oct
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 Dundalk
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2 Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
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23 Oct
Derry City
2 : 1 Dundalk
17 Oct
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 Dundalk
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 | St. Patricks | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
