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Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Lynch C.

AI Match Summary

Sligo Rovers host Finn Harps in the Club Friendly. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sligo Rovers have averaged 0.88 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Finn Harps's 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Sligo Rovers have won 3 to Finn Harps's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring Sligo Rovers. Sligo Rovers in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sligo Rovers
30%
Draws
34%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sligo Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Finn Harps.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Sligo Rovers.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 16%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers Finn Harps
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps
1:0
Jan 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Finn Harps vs Sligo Rovers
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps
4:0
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Finn Harps vs Sligo Rovers
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 36 / 100
Finn Harps 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers Finn Harps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sligo Rovers scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Finn Harps let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sligo Rovers went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Finn Harps lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sligo Rovers VS Finn Harps
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%