Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Showgrounds
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sligo Rovers play Shelbourne in the Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sligo Rovers averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Shelbourne averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Sligo Rovers won 0, Shelbourne won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Sligo Rovers and 1.69 for Shelbourne. This points to a Shelbourne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sligo Rovers
35%
Draws
37%
Shelbourne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shelbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Shelbourne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 13%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers Shelbourne
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 13
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
2:2
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patton D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Coote A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrett P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 28 / 100
Shelbourne 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers Shelbourne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shelbourne or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sligo Rovers attacking → ← attacking Shelbourne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sligo Rovers scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Shelbourne let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sligo Rovers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Shelbourne lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 43
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks23125638:1941
4Dundalk2398637:3435
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United22661029:3724
8Drogheda23571127:4022
9Waterford23481132:4620
10Sligo Rovers23551318:3720