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Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Showgrounds, Sligo
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Gabbidon A.
59'
Sub
Breslin A. In: McClelland J.
Out: Breslin A.
59'
Sub
Edmondson R. In: Olusanya A.
Out: Edmondson R.

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sligo Rovers
15%
Draws
85%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Patricks have won more games recently than Sligo Rovers.
  • Model gives St. Patricks a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 16%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers St. Patricks
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
0:1
Jun 19, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
2:0
May 4, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Keena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
St. Patricks 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sligo Rovers found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

St. Patricks's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sligo Rovers VS St. Patricks
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sligo Rovers

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

St. Patricks

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)