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Sliven vs Borislav Parvomay

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023 Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium, Sliven
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2022/2023 game between Sliven and Borislav Parvomay finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sliven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sliven
15%
Draws
21%
Borislav Parvomay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sliven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sliven come out ahead of Borislav Parvomay on wins alone.
  • Borislav Parvomay are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Borislav Parvomay here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sliven Clean Sheet 20%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sliven Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.67 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Borislav Parvomay
5:0
Aug 6, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Sliven
3:1
May 29, 2016 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Borislav Parvomay
3:4
Nov 28, 2015 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Sliven
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sliven 24 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sliven Borislav Parvomay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borislav Parvomay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borislav Parvomay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sliven scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Difficult form: Borislav Parvomay registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sliven VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sliven

(Home)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
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Borislav Parvomay

(Away)
31 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 4
Zagorets
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
20 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Rozova Dolina
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Atletik Kuklen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 26 5 7 84:32 83
2 Chernomorets 1919 38 24 8 6 82:26 80
3 Gigant Saedinenie 38 23 9 6 69:28 78
4 Zagorets 38 22 10 6 64:19 76
5 OFC Haskovo 38 20 9 9 68:36 69
6 Rozova Dolina 38 20 8 10 66:29 68
7 Spartak Plovdiv 38 19 8 11 73:43 65
8 Asenovets 38 19 7 12 69:41 64
9 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 20 4 14 57:33 64
10 Yambol 1915 38 16 9 13 57:48 57
11 Rodopa Smolyan 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
12 Dimitrovgrad 38 16 4 18 52:54 52
13 Sokol Markovo 38 15 3 20 54:58 48
14 Levski Karlovo 38 12 6 20 45:69 42
15 Karnobat 38 11 8 19 37:57 41
16 Beroe II 38 11 4 23 45:74 37
17 Atletik Kuklen 38 11 3 24 37:83 36
18 Sliven 38 10 6 22 58:93 36
19 Borislav Parvomay 38 5 6 27 34:92 21
20 Vereya 38 2 0 36 24:163 6
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)