Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sliven vs Sozopol

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024 Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium, Sliven
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sliven in this Third League - South-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sliven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sliven
6%
Draws
90%
Sozopol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sozopol lately — more wins on the board than Sliven.
  • Model gives Sozopol a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sozopol have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sliven Clean Sheet 10%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sliven Sozopol
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 13.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Sozopol vs Sliven
4:2
Mar 13, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Sozopol
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Sliven vs Sozopol
2:3
Sep 2, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Sliven
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sliven 10 / 100
Sozopol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sliven Sozopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Sliven scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sozopol let in goals in 56% of their last 36 matches.

Sliven went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sliven VS Sozopol
0 Goals Scored 0.63
13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sliven

(Home)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6

Sozopol

(Away)
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
23 May
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 1
Sozopol
16 May
Sozopol
1 : 0
OFC Haskovo
13 May
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 0
Sozopol
09 May
Sozopol
1 : 3
Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar382981121:3995
2OFC Haskovo38303597:2693
3Spartak Plovdiv382963122:2293
4Gigant Saedinenie38218981:4371
5Zagorets382161179:4269
6Dimitrovgrad381910960:4067
7Botev II381871384:5561
8Atletik Kuklen381841660:7158
9Rozova Dolina381751660:5056
10Rodopa Smolyan381561764:6351
11Asenovets381461859:7348
12Lok. Plovdiv II381451965:5947
13Sozopol3812101657:5346
14Sekirovo Rakovski381172059:7540
15Levski Karlovo381152256:9138
16Yambol 1915389101949:8237
17Karnobat381112646:10634
18Sliven38862442:12730
19Sokol Markovo38832736:9827
20Beroe II38623026:10820
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)