Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sliven in this Third League - South-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sliven.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sozopol lately — more wins on the board than Sliven.
- Model gives Sozopol a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Sozopol have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sliven Clean Sheet 15%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sliven | Sozopol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Sozopol vs Sliven
4:2
Mar 13, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Sozopol
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Sliven vs Sozopol
2:3
Sep 2, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Sliven
7:1
Mar 15, 2014 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Sozopol
0:7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sliven 10 / 100
Sozopol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sliven Sozopol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sozopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.
Sliven scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Sozopol let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.
Sliven went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sozopol
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sliven
(Home) 27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0 Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3 Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2 Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0 Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2 Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2 Levski Karlovo
18 May
Sliven
2 : 0 Dimitrovgrad
10 May
Sliven
1 : 0 Zagorets
27 Apr
Sliven
2 : 1 Karnobat
17 Apr
Sliven
1 : 2 Botev II
Page 1 of 3
Sozopol
(Away) 18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0 Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0 Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4 Sozopol
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0 Sozopol
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0 Sozopol
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4 Sozopol
08 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 3 Sozopol
23 May
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 1 Sozopol
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 121:39 | 95 |
| 2 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 97:26 | 93 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 122:22 | 93 |
| 4 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 81:43 | 71 |
| 5 | Zagorets | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 79:42 | 69 |
| 6 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 60:40 | 67 |
| 7 | Botev II | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 84:55 | 61 |
| 8 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 60:71 | 58 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 64:63 | 51 |
| 11 | Asenovets | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 59:73 | 48 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 65:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Sozopol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 57:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 59:75 | 40 |
| 15 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 56:91 | 38 |
| 16 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 49:82 | 37 |
| 17 | Karnobat | 38 | 11 | 1 | 26 | 46:106 | 34 |
| 18 | Sliven | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 42:127 | 30 |
| 19 | Sokol Markovo | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 36:98 | 27 |
| 20 | Beroe II | 38 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 26:108 | 20 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)
