Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Slivnishki Geroy

1 - 0

Germaneya

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Slivnishki Geroy and Germaneya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slivnishki Geroy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Slivnishki Geroy

Draws

Germaneya

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Germaneya haven't matched Slivnishki Geroy's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Slivnishki Geroy's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 20%

Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Slivnishki Geroy	Germaneya
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	4
Draws	8	4
Losses	13	22
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Germaneya

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-West

Germaneya vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slivnishki Geroy 85 / 100

Germaneya 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Slivnishki Geroy Germaneya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Germaneya conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Slivnishki Geroy's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Slivnishki Geroy has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slivnishki Geroy VS Germaneya

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38