Sport Picks
Slivnishki Geroy vs Germaneya Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Slivnishki Geroy and Germaneya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slivnishki Geroy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Germaneya haven't matched Slivnishki Geroy's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Slivnishki Geroy's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Slivnishki Geroy here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 17%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slivnishki Geroy | Germaneya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Germaneya
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:2
May 18, 2019 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Germaneya
3:1
Nov 10, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:2
Mar 10, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slivnishki Geroy 75 / 100
Germaneya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slivnishki Geroy Germaneya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Slivnishki Geroy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Germaneya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Slivnishki Geroy found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Slivnishki Geroy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Slivnishki Geroy VS Germaneya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Slivnishki Geroy
(Home) 26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
22 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 0 Levski Sofia II
08 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 3 Botev Ihtiman
30 May
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Slavia Sofia 2
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Germaneya
(Away) 30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1 Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2 Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1 Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4 Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Germaneya
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1 Germaneya
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1 Germaneya
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Germaneya
16 Apr
Levski Sofia II
3 : 1 Germaneya
04 Apr
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 0 Germaneya
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
