Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slivnishki Geroy vs Septemvri Simitli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slivnishki Geroy host Septemvri Simitli in the Third League - South-West. Little to choose between these two on current form. Septemvri Simitli have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Slivnishki Geroy have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.31. Head-to-head, Slivnishki Geroy have won 1 to Septemvri Simitli's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.25) point toward Septemvri Simitli. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Slivnishki Geroy
35%
Draws
28%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Simitli come out ahead of Slivnishki Geroy on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Slivnishki Geroy's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 19%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slivnishki Geroy Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:3
Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slivnishki Geroy 42 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slivnishki Geroy Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slivnishki Geroy's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Septemvri Simitli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Slivnishki Geroy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slivnishki Geroy VS Septemvri Simitli
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slivnishki Geroy

(Home)
31 Oct
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 0
Oborishte Panagyurishte
28 Oct
Bansko
2 : 0
Slivnishki Geroy
24 Oct
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 0
Minyor Pernik
17 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
10 Oct
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 0
Natsional Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
31 Oct
Levski Sofia II
2 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
28 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Slavia Sofia 2
24 Oct
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
10 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 6