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Sloboda vs OFK Napredak Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 Stadion Radomir Antic, Uzice
Sloboda Logo

Sloboda

1 - 1
FT
OFK Napredak Logo

OFK Napredak

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 game between Sloboda and OFK Napredak finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sloboda
20%
Draws
32%
OFK Napredak
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sloboda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Sloboda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sloboda a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sloboda have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 20%
OFK Napredak Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloboda OFK Napredak
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 13
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.15 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
OFK Napredak vs Sloboda
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs OFK Napredak
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
OFK Napredak vs Sloboda
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloboda 49 / 100
OFK Napredak 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloboda OFK Napredak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloboda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloboda scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

OFK Napredak has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sloboda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloboda VS OFK Napredak
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloboda

(Home)
27 Sept
FAP
2 : 1
Sloboda
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
12 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Buducnost Krusik
06 Sept
Radevac
0 : 3
Sloboda
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OFK Napredak

(Away)
27 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 0
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
23 Sept
Djerdap Golubac
0 : 2
OFK Napredak
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
13 Sept
Jedinstvo Putevi
0 : 0
OFK Napredak
05 Sept
OFK Napredak
4 : 1
Vujan Prislonica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalac 30 20 8 2 52:17 68
2 Real Podunavci 30 13 10 7 37:29 49
3 Radnicki Valjevo 30 13 5 12 43:38 44
4 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 30 11 10 9 42:30 43
5 Omladinac Zablace 30 10 12 8 36:30 42
6 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
7 Sloboda 30 9 14 7 33:24 41
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 10 10 10 34:33 40
9 Jedinstvo Putevi 30 11 6 13 35:39 39
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 30 9 12 9 29:28 39
11 OFK Napredak 30 8 14 8 36:33 38
12 Takovo 30 9 10 11 23:29 37
13 Sloga Pozega 30 9 9 12 29:33 36
14 Mladi Radnik Radinac 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
15 Josanica 30 6 10 14 30:45 28
16 Polimlje 30 5 9 16 24:50 24
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)