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Sloboda vs Otrant

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sloboda host Otrant in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Sloboda at 1.1 goals for, 1 against; Otrant at 1.71 for, 1.11 against. Past meetings favor Sloboda slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Otrant to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sloboda
15%
Draws
26%
Otrant
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sloboda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sloboda haven't matched Otrant's recent run of results.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 17%
Otrant Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloboda Otrant
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.71
Goals Conceded 1 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Sloboda vs Otrant
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloboda 30 / 100
Otrant 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloboda Otrant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sloboda scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Otrant conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sloboda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Otrant lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloboda VS Otrant
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloboda

(Home)
01 Aug
Takovo
4 : 0
Sloboda
26 Jul
Sloboda
0 : 1
Jedinstvo
22 Jul
Sloboda
2 : 1
Omladinac Zablace
07 Jun
Sloboda
2 : 0
Jedinstvo Putevi
31 May
Takovo
1 : 3
Sloboda
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Otrant

(Away)
09 Aug
Otrant
0 : 0
Petrovac
02 Aug
Mladost DG
2 : 1
Otrant
26 Jul
Beselidhja Lezha
3 : 1
Otrant
25 Jul
Otrant
2 : 1
Vllaznia
19 Jul
Bokelj
1 : 0
Otrant
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