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Sloga Mravince vs OSK Otok Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Sloga Mravince and OSK Otok finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloga Mravince.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sloga Mravince
30%
Draws
33%
OSK Otok
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sloga Mravince

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sloga Mravince come out ahead of OSK Otok on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sloga Mravince a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sloga Mravince Clean Sheet 13%
OSK Otok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga Mravince OSK Otok
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.57 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs OSK Otok
4:1
Sep 8, 2021 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Sloga Mravince
1:1
Mar 28, 2021 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs OSK Otok
5:0
Oct 14, 2020 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Sloga Mravince
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Mravince 84 / 100
OSK Otok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga Mravince OSK Otok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloga Mravince Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloga Mravince scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: OSK Otok conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sloga Mravince went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloga Mravince VS OSK Otok
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloga Mravince

(Home)
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
01 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Sloga Mravince
28 Jul
Omladinac Vranjic
0 : 5
Sloga Mravince
28 May
Zagora
3 : 3
Sloga Mravince
22 May
Sloga Mravince
1 : 2
Hrvace
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OSK Otok

(Away)
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
07 May
NK Junak Sinj
2 : 1
OSK Otok
01 May
OSK Otok
4 : 1
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)