Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL South

Zmaj Makarska

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sloga Mravince play Zmaj Makarska in the 3. HNL South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sloga Mravince averaged 1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Zmaj Makarska averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Sloga Mravince won 1, Zmaj Makarska won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 20, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sloga Mravince and 1.06 for Zmaj Makarska. This points to a Sloga Mravince double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Sloga Mravince

Draws

Zmaj Makarska

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sloga Mravince

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sloga Mravince has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Zmaj Makarska.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sloga Mravince.
League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. HNL South provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Sloga Mravince Clean Sheet 68%

Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sloga Mravince	Zmaj Makarska
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	11	9
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2022 3. HNL South

Sloga Mravince vs Zmaj Makarska

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL South

Zmaj Makarska vs Sloga Mravince

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Apr 18, 2021 3. HNL South

Sloga Mravince vs Zmaj Makarska

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Sep 30, 2020 3. HNL South

Zmaj Makarska vs Sloga Mravince

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Mravince 95 / 100

Zmaj Makarska 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sloga Mravince Zmaj Makarska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloga Mravince scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Zmaj Makarska let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Sloga Mravince went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zmaj Makarska lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloga Mravince VS Zmaj Makarska

1 Goals Scored 0.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jadran Luka Ploce	34	20	5	9	67:28	65
2	Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje	34	18	6	10	56:38	60
3	Hrvace	34	18	6	10	46:39	60
4	HNK Zadar	34	16	11	7	69:28	59
5	Neretva	34	16	7	11	50:36	55
6	RNK Split	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
7	NK Junak Sinj	34	16	4	14	49:46	52
8	Uskok Klis	34	15	6	13	51:54	51
9	Sloga Mravince	34	12	14	8	48:45	50
10	Primorac Biograd	34	14	6	14	60:56	48
11	Zagora	34	12	8	14	47:52	44
12	GOSK Dubrovnik	34	11	10	13	35:34	43
13	Zmaj Makarska	34	11	10	13	28:39	43
14	Neretvanac	34	10	8	16	40:53	38
15	Kamen Podbablje	34	9	10	15	37:51	37
16	Vodice	34	8	9	17	44:73	33
17	Urania Baska Voda	34	10	3	21	33:65	33
18	OSK Otok	34	6	8	20	48:83	26