Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Croatia Dakovo

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sloga Nova Gradiska in this 3. HNL East matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sloga Nova Gradiska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sloga Nova Gradiska
17%
Draws
13%
Croatia Dakovo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sloga Nova Gradiska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sloga Nova Gradiska have won more games recently than Croatia Dakovo.
  • Sloga Nova Gradiska are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 20%
Croatia Dakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga Nova Gradiska Croatia Dakovo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Croatia Dakovo
3:1
Sep 15, 2021 3. HNL East
Croatia Dakovo vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL East
Croatia Dakovo vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
1:0
Aug 26, 2020 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Croatia Dakovo
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Nova Gradiska 67 / 100
Croatia Dakovo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga Nova Gradiska Croatia Dakovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia Dakovo has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sloga Nova Gradiska scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Croatia Dakovo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Croatia Dakovo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vukovar 199134257280:2082
2Zrinski Osjecko34246469:3378
3Belisce34236595:2875
4Marsonia34217661:2570
5Slavonija Pozega34187960:3861
6Croatia Dakovo341611760:3859
7Bedem Ivankovo341381353:5247
8Slavija Pleternica341361557:6845
9Kutjevo341271559:6243
10Granicar Zupanja341171643:5240
11Sloga Nova Gradiska341231946:7139
12Oriolik341151843:7138
13Cepin348101646:6434
14Darda34952044:7132
15Vuteks Sloga34942152:8131
16NASK Nasice34791838:6330
17Omladinac Gornja Vrba34862035:6330
18Slavonac Bukovlje34742336:7725