Sport Picks
Slovakia U21 vs Italy U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 City Arena Trnava, Trnava 
Match Events
7'
7'
Casadei C.
Assist: Gnonto W.
37'
37'
Jakubko J.
44'
44'
Sauer L.
AI Match Summary
Italy U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Slovakia U21 haven't matched Italy U21's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Italy U21 taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Slovakia U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Italy U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slovakia U21 | Italy U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2025 Euro U21
Slovakia U21 vs Italy U21
0:1
Sep 6, 2018 Friendly International
Slovakia U21 vs Italy U21
3:0
Oct 14, 2014 Euro U21
Italy U21 vs Slovakia U21
3:1
Oct 10, 2014 Euro U21
Slovakia U21 vs Italy U21
1:1
Aug 14, 2013 Friendly International
Slovakia U21 vs Italy U21
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Slovakia U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Italy U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Casadei C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slovakia U21 10 / 100
Italy U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slovakia U21 Italy U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Slovakia U21's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Slovakia U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Italy U21 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Slovakia U21 VS Italy U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Slovakia U21
(Home) 27 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 3 Slovakia U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4 England U21
13 Nov
Slovakia U21
2 : 1 Kazakhstan U21
14 Oct
Slovakia U21
2 : 0 Moldova U21
10 Oct
Ireland U21
2 : 2 Slovakia U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4 England U21
13 Nov
Slovakia U21
2 : 1 Kazakhstan U21
14 Oct
Slovakia U21
2 : 0 Moldova U21
05 Sept
Slovakia U21
3 : 0 Andorra U21
14 Jun
Slovakia U21
0 : 1 Italy U21
Page 1 of 4
Italy U21
(Away) 08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0 Albania U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4 Italy U21
26 Mar
Italy U21
4 : 0 North Macedonia U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4 Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1 Italy U21
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4 Italy U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4 Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1 Italy U21
09 Sept
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1 Italy U21
22 Jun
Germany U21
3 : 2 Italy U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Slovakia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Romania U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | England U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Czech Republic U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Slovenia U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 7 |
| 2 | France U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Georgia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Ukraine U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Finland U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
