Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovakia U21 vs Moldova U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fiala A.
Assist: Sauer M.
17' Event
Sauer M.
Assist: Pira J.
42'
Botan D.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Slovakia U21 and Moldova U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slovakia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Slovakia U21
30%
Draws
31%
Moldova U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slovakia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Slovakia U21 come out ahead of Moldova U21 on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Slovakia U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Slovakia U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Slovakia U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovakia U21 Moldova U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Slovakia U21 vs Moldova U21
2:0
Sep 9, 2025 Euro U21
Moldova U21 vs Slovakia U21
2:3
Jun 11, 2024 Friendly International
Slovakia U21 vs Moldova U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiala A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sauer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Moldova U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia U21 50 / 100
Moldova U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovakia U21 Moldova U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovakia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Moldova U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Slovakia U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slovakia U21 VS Moldova U21
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovakia U21

(Home)
27 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 3
Slovakia U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
13 Nov
Slovakia U21
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U21
14 Oct
Slovakia U21
2 : 0
Moldova U21
10 Oct
Ireland U21
2 : 2
Slovakia U21
Page 1 of 6

Moldova U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)