Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Tehelné pole

Germany

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Slovakia play Germany in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Slovakia averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Germany averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Slovakia won 2, Germany won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 17, 2025 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Slovakia and 2.38 for Germany. This points to a Germany double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Slovakia

15%

Draws

47%

Germany

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Slovakia picked up more points recently compared to Germany.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Slovakia Clean Sheet 10%

Germany Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Slovakia	Germany
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	19
Draws	5	4
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.5	2.55
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 World Championship

Germany vs Slovakia

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

6:0

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Slovakia vs Germany

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Jun 26, 2016 Euro

Germany vs Slovakia

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

May 29, 2016 Friendly International

Germany vs Slovakia

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Jun 6, 2007 Euro

Germany vs Slovakia

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia Compare

Top Goalscorer Hancko D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Strelec D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Germany Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia 36 / 100

Germany 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Slovakia Germany

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Germany or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Slovakia attacking → ← attacking Germany

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Germany let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Slovakia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Germany lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 61

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.88

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0