Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice

Slovakia

1 - 0

Northern Ireland

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Ballard D.

46'

Sub

Charles D. In: Reid J.

Out: Charles D.

55'

Skriniar M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Slovakia and Northern Ireland finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slovakia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Slovakia

20%

Draws

40%

Northern Ireland

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Northern Ireland haven't matched Slovakia's recent run of results.
Model gives Slovakia a 40% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Slovakia Clean Sheet 68%

Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Slovakia	Northern Ireland
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	13	12
Draws	5	5
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.44	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.19	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship

Slovakia vs Northern Ireland

1:0

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Northern Ireland vs Slovakia

2:0

Nov 12, 2020 Euro

Northern Ireland vs Slovakia

1:2

Jun 4, 2016 Friendly International

Slovakia vs Northern Ireland

0:0

Sep 9, 2009 World Championship

Northern Ireland vs Slovakia

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bobcek T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Northern Ireland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia 59 / 100

Northern Ireland 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Slovakia Northern Ireland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovakia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Slovakia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Northern Ireland has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slovakia VS Northern Ireland

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovakia

(Home)

05 Jun

Slovakia

2 : 2

Montenegro

01 Jun

Slovakia

2 : 1

Malta

31 Mar

Slovakia

2 : 0

Romania

26 Mar

Slovakia

3 : 4

Kosovo

17 Nov

Germany

6 : 0

Slovakia

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Northern Ireland

(Away)

25 Sept

Georgia

0 : 1

Northern Ireland

08 Jun

France

3 : 1

Northern Ireland

04 Jun

Northern Ireland

1 : 0

Guinea

31 Mar

Wales

1 : 1

Northern Ireland

26 Mar

Italy

2 : 0

Northern Ireland

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