Sport Picks

Europe

Euro 2024 Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf

Slovakia

1 - 2

Ukraine

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Schranz I.

Assist: Haraslin L.

54'

Shaparenko M.

Assist: Zinchenko O.

60'

Sub

Duda O. In: Benes L.

Out: Duda O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ukraine in this Euro 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ukraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Slovakia

15%

Draws

48%

Ukraine

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ukraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Slovakia lately — more wins on the board than Ukraine.
Slovakia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Slovakia Clean Sheet 16%

Ukraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Slovakia	Ukraine
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	14
Draws	5	6
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2024 Euro

Slovakia vs Ukraine

1:2

Nov 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League

Slovakia vs Ukraine

4:1

Sep 9, 2018 UEFA Nations League

Ukraine vs Slovakia

1:0

Nov 10, 2017 Friendly International

Ukraine vs Slovakia

2:1

Sep 8, 2015 Euro

Slovakia vs Ukraine

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia Compare

Top Goalscorer Schranz I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Ukraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaparenko M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yaremchuk R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia 36 / 100

Ukraine 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Slovakia Ukraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ukraine conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Slovakia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slovakia VS Ukraine

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovakia

(Home)

05 Jun

Slovakia

2 : 2

Montenegro

01 Jun

Slovakia

2 : 1

Malta

31 Mar

Slovakia

2 : 0

Romania

26 Mar

Slovakia

3 : 4

Kosovo

17 Nov

Germany

6 : 0

Slovakia

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Ukraine

(Away)

07 Jun

Denmark

2 : 1

Ukraine

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Ukraine

1 : 0

Albania

26 Mar

Ukraine

1 : 3

Sweden

16 Nov

Ukraine

2 : 0

Iceland

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