Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovakia W vs Moldova W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women City Arena Trnava, Trnava
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sivolobova A.
49'
Retkesova L.
57'
Sub
Fabova K. In: Semanova S.
Out: Fabova K.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Slovakia W and Moldova W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slovakia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Slovakia W
30%
Draws
47%
Moldova W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moldova W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Slovakia W come out ahead of Moldova W on wins alone.
  • Moldova W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Slovakia W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Slovakia W Clean Sheet 16%
Moldova W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovakia W Moldova W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.87 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Moldova W vs Slovakia W
0:2
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Slovakia W vs Moldova W
1:0
Dec 1, 2015 Euro Women
Moldova W vs Slovakia W
0:4
Oct 26, 2015 Euro Women
Slovakia W vs Moldova W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Skorvankova D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Moldova W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia W 15 / 100
Moldova W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovakia W Moldova W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia W scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Moldova W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Slovakia W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slovakia W VS Moldova W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovakia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
Page 1 of 7

Moldova W

(Away)
09 Jun
Cyprus W
0 : 2
Moldova W
05 Jun
Moldova W
0 : 0
Romania W
18 Apr
Greece W
1 : 1
Moldova W
14 Apr
Moldova W
0 : 0
Cyprus W
03 Mar
Romania W
1 : 0
Moldova W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams