Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ristic A.

AI Match Summary

Slovan Ljubljana in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovan Ljubljana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Slovan Ljubljana
6%
Draws
4%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Slovan Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slovan Ljubljana lately — more wins on the board than Jesenice.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Slovan Ljubljana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Slovan Ljubljana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Slovan Ljubljana Clean Sheet 17%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovan Ljubljana Jesenice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana
2:3
Apr 14, 2024 3. SNL - West
Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovan Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ristic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovan Ljubljana 84 / 100
Jesenice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovan Ljubljana Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesenice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Slovan Ljubljana found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Slovan Ljubljana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slovan Ljubljana VS Jesenice
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovan Ljubljana

(Home)
23 May
Bistrica
1 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
17 May
Slovan Ljubljana
5 : 1
Tabor Sezana
10 May
Jadran Dekani
5 : 1
Slovan Ljubljana
07 May
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
Jesenice
30 Apr
Krsko Posavje
1 : 1
Slovan Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

Jesenice

(Away)
23 May
Jesenice
0 : 1
Dravinja
15 May
NK Krka
3 : 2
Jesenice
10 May
Jesenice
2 : 1
Rudar
07 May
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
Jesenice
30 Apr
Jesenice
0 : 3
Triglav
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)