Sport Picks

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Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ristic A.

AI Match Summary

Slovan Ljubljana in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovan Ljubljana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Slovan Ljubljana
15%
Draws
54%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slovan Ljubljana lately — more wins on the board than Jesenice.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Jesenice taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Slovan Ljubljana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Slovan Ljubljana Clean Sheet 16%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovan Ljubljana Jesenice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana
2:3
Apr 14, 2024 3. SNL - West
Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovan Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ristic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovan Ljubljana 10 / 100
Jesenice 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovan Ljubljana Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesenice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Slovan Ljubljana found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Slovan Ljubljana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slovan Ljubljana VS Jesenice
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovan Ljubljana

(Home)
20 Sept
Triglav
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
05 Sept
Bilje
4 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
28 Aug
Slovan Ljubljana
2 : 1
Ilirija
21 Aug
NK Krka
2 : 3
Slovan Ljubljana
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Jesenice

(Away)
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
29 Aug
Jesenice
3 : 1
Beltinci
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)