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Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
Fri, Oct 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slovenia U21 host Netherlands U21 in the Euro U21. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Slovenia U21 have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Netherlands U21's 2.27 scored and 0.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Netherlands U21 slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 14, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.50) back Netherlands U21 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Slovenia U21
30%
Draws
41%
Netherlands U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Netherlands U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Netherlands U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Netherlands U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Slovenia U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovenia U21 Netherlands U21
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 21
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.97 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Slovenia U21
2:0
Nov 15, 2005 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Slovenia U21
2:0
Nov 12, 2005 Euro U21
Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovenia U21 30 / 100
Netherlands U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovenia U21 Netherlands U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovenia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovenia U21 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Slovenia U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Netherlands U21 conceded in 39% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Slovenia U21 VS Netherlands U21
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovenia U21

(Home)
29 Sept
Slovenia U21
2 : 3
Israel U21
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
Page 1 of 6

Netherlands U21

(Away)
25 Sept
Netherlands U21
0 : 0
Norway U21
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland U21 9 7 1 1 30:3 22
2 Spain U21 8 7 0 1 27:4 21
3 Romania U21 9 5 1 3 11:6 16
4 Kosovo U21 9 4 2 3 17:7 14
5 Cyprus U21 9 1 0 8 6:29 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 9 7 1 1 33:2 22
2 Czech Republic U21 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Scotland U21 9 4 2 3 23:12 14
4 Bulgaria U21 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 9 1 4 4 8:24 7
6 Gibraltar U21 9 0 0 9 1:41 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 8 6 2 0 24:5 20
2 Switzerland U21 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
3 Iceland U21 9 4 3 2 20:11 15
4 Faroe Islands U21 9 4 0 5 8:15 12
5 Luxembourg U21 8 2 1 5 8:19 7
6 Estonia U21 9 0 2 7 9:25 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 8 7 1 0 22:4 22
2 Ireland U21 9 5 2 2 13:13 17
3 Slovakia U21 8 5 1 2 15:12 16
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 9 1 1 7 9:18 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 9 9 0 0 26:2 27
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 9 3 1 5 10:22 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 9 8 0 1 30:5 24
2 Greece U21 8 7 0 1 24:4 21
3 Northern Ireland U21 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Georgia U21 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
5 Latvia U21 8 1 2 5 4:16 5
6 Malta U21 9 0 0 9 2:36 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Israel U21 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 7 1 4 2 3:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
5 Slovenia U21 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
4 Hungary U21 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
2 Denmark U21 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
4 Wales U21 7 2 0 5 6:21 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)