Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovenia vs North Macedonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Slovenia Logo

Slovenia

2 - 0
FT
North Macedonia Logo

North Macedonia

Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Stojcevski A.
55' Event
Lovric S.
Assist: Begic T.
57'
Atanasov J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Slovenia in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Slovenia
15%
Draws
0%
North Macedonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slovenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • North Macedonia haven't matched Slovenia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Slovenia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 68%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovenia North Macedonia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 13 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs North Macedonia
2:0
Jun 1, 2021 Friendly International
North Macedonia vs Slovenia
1:1
Oct 10, 2019 Euro
North Macedonia vs Slovenia
2:1
Mar 24, 2019 Euro
Slovenia vs North Macedonia
1:1
Mar 23, 2016 Friendly International
Slovenia vs North Macedonia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lovric S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

North Macedonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovenia 95 / 100
North Macedonia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovenia North Macedonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovenia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Slovenia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

North Macedonia let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Slovenia VS North Macedonia
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovenia

(Home)
06 Oct
Scotland
1 : 2
Slovenia
03 Oct
Switzerland
2 : 1
Slovenia
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
Page 1 of 6

North Macedonia

(Away)
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0
North Macedonia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2
Scotland
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3
Switzerland
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)