Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slutsk vs Orsha

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Stadyen Haradski
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slutsk play Orsha in the Pershaya Liga. Slutsk are favorites here. Recently, Slutsk averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Orsha averaged 1.04 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. In past meetings, Slutsk won 2, Orsha won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Slutsk and 1.25 for Orsha. This points to a Slutsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Slutsk
15%
Draws
23%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slutsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Slutsk picked up more points recently compared to Orsha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Slutsk Clean Sheet 19%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slutsk Orsha
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.57 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Slutsk vs Orsha
3:1
Jun 23, 2010 Belarusian Cup
Orsha vs Slutsk
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slutsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurlovich V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kulchitskiy V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Pashkevich M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slutsk 60 / 100
Orsha 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slutsk Orsha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slutsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Slutsk & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Slutsk attacking → ← attacking Orsha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slutsk scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Orsha let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Slutsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Orsha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 23
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SKA-1938 Minsk14103136:1533
2Slutsk14102230:1632
3Niva Dolbizno1482433:1626
4FC Slonim1482426:1526
5FK Lida1473423:2224
6Din. Minsk 21373329:1824
7Volna Pinsk1472523:2123
8BumProm Gomel1472529:2023
9Soligorsk1464429:1822
10Molodechno1461719:2819
11FC Gomel 21444622:2016
12Orsha1342714:2414
13Ostrovets1428417:2014
14Smorgon1434717:2313
15FC Minsk 21441915:2913
16Uni X Labs1433812:2412
17BATE 21425719:3311
18Osipovichi14111215:464