Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Halldorsson Y.
36'
36'
Gylfason E.
55'
55'
Sigmundsson B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Skallagrimur lately — more wins on the board than Smari.
- Model gives Smari a 36% chance of winning this.
- Skallagrimur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Smari, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Smari Clean Sheet 10%
Skallagrimur Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smari | Skallagrimur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.2 | 3.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Smari vs Skallagrimur
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smari Compare
Top Goalscorer Halldorsson Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Arnarsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41
Skallagrimur Compare
Top Goalscorer Gylfason E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sigmundsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smari 34 / 100
Skallagrimur 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smari Skallagrimur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Smari's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 10 recent games.
Skallagrimur has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Away concern: Skallagrimur has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Smari VS Skallagrimur
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Smari
(Home) 28 Mar
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0 Smari
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2 Skallagrimur
09 Apr
Olafsvik
5 : 1 Smari
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0 Falkar
05 Apr
Smari
2 : 3 Arbaer
Page 1 of 2
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2 Skallagrimur
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0 Falkar
05 Apr
Smari
2 : 3 Arbaer
08 Apr
Smari
1 : 6 Aegir
10 Apr
Smari
2 : 4 KFS
Page 1 of 2
Skallagrimur
(Away) 21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2 Skallagrimur
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2 Ulfarnir
30 Mar
Hamar
1 : 3 Skallagrimur
06 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 3 Aegir
02 Apr
Skallagrimur
2 : 3 KFR
Page 1 of 6
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2 Skallagrimur
30 Mar
Hamar
1 : 3 Skallagrimur
13 Apr
Reynir Hellissandur
5 : 1 Skallagrimur
01 May
Kari
5 : 1 Skallagrimur
25 Apr
Snaefell
1 : 5 Skallagrimur
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik 2
Afturelding 1
